Thursday, May 8, 2008

The Billary Bomb Fallout, and Things To Pack for Denver

Lately, it seems the "Party of the People" has become the "Party of the Know-Betters". This race is now down to the Super Delegate's decision being the end-all, be-all for this primary race. And they have continually been riding the Obama momentum wave. Why? Hillary still has a size able chunk of the pledge delegate share, and has actually more popular vote than Obama, when you count "actual" instead of "official" states. She is proving to be able to get the reliable, bread-and-butter base of the Democratic Party... the working class and women. This is the most reliable voting bloc in the General Election for the Democrats. Blacks, First Timers, Young People, College Educated folks, and College Students only come out to decide who the women and working class get to vote on. They almost never come out in time for Election Day in November. Obama's base, the primary-only voters, are the same base McGovern carried; the Black vote, the Young vote, the First Time vote, and the College Student/Educated vote. And we all remember the blow-out McGovern had when he became president in 1972. Oh, wait, no he didn't. Almost everyone on the Democratic side is calling Obama the presumptive nominee, including McGovern! Yet, as of now, he only has a slight lead in pledge delegates, which will only count for him on the first ballot if this thing(God Willing) goes to the convention in August. The Clinton campaign already plans to wage a Super Delegate campaign after the final primaries, and will go to August if necessary. Hillary has nothing to lose and everything to win. We Republicans are sitting pretty and quiet on this for two reasons: Either Hillary Clinton will end up blowing up the Democratic Party. Or, they will go with Obama who is now the candidate of gaffes and poor associations and judgment. Hillary will end up alienating the Black vote, and Obama won't get the Reagan Democrats, and McCain polls better with Independents. Plus, Obama's claim of "working across party lines" is a lie. He is one of the most reliable senators to vote with the left fringe wing of the party. Hillary made a point to work across party lines once she got to the Senate in 2000, and mention any of the issues facing us today, and McCain's name comes up as the most likely to work across the aisle. Why Hillary let Obama have the bi-partisan tagline is beyond me, since she actually has been bi-partisan and Obama has been the MoveOn, Daily Kos, Huffington Post, Kennedy, Pelosi, Moore vote. Either way, in a year when a Republican should be behind by 10-20 points in the polls, McCain is ahead almost daily.

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